Week #11 Selections Part #5


2016-11-12

Kentucky at Tennessee    -13.5

The Pick: Kentucky +13.5 – Vols can’t be trusted to cover this, but surely they get the win at home?

Mississippi at Texas A&M      -10

The Pick: Texas A&M -10 – A&M less beat up than Ole Miss and should get this done at home, Rebels cannot stop the run

Baylor at Oklahoma            -15.5

The Pick: Oklahoma -15.5 –     Sooners should run all over the Bears at home

LSU at Arkansas                    7

The Pick: Arkansas +7 – LSU bounces back to steal a sqeaker on the road and break the Hogs hearts

South Carolina at Florida      -11.5

The Pick: South Carolina +11.5 – Florida does not have the offence to blow anyone out, but I think the Frosh QB for USC screws up enough v an elite Gator secondary to give Fla the win at home

Auburn at Georgia                 10

The Pick: Auburn -10 – Tigers should get this done, but the road cover might be an issue

Northwestern at Purdue         13.5

The Pick: Northwestern -13.5 – NW should roll v brutal Purdue D

West Virginia at Texas                   -2

The Pick: West Virginia -2 –     this may well be one of the best off the radar games of the day. You want to take Texas at home, but I don’t see WVU making the mistakes that Texas will need to take advantage of to pull this out. Texas drops another heartbreaking loss

Ohio State at Maryland            29

The Pick: Ohio State -29 – can not see the Terps offering much resistance here

Penn St at Indiana                     7

The Pick: Indiana +7 – this will be very close, but I think Penn St squeaks this out on the road, it will not be pretty

Iowa State at Kansas                    9.5

The Pick: Iowa State -9.5 – Kansas can’t stop turning the ball over, Iowa State gets this done with the running game

Rutgers at Michigan State             -14

The Pick: Rutgers +14 – hard to like either team in this one, I think MSU grinds out a close one at home, but your guess is as good as mine really

Cincinnati at Central Florida             -12.5

The Pick: Central Florida -12.5 – Knights should get this done as Cincy’s offense has gone bye bye of late

SMU at East Carolina                       -7

The Pick: East Carolina -7 – Pirates get this one at home, SMU can score some but also can’t seem to stop screwing up

Tulsa at Navy                               1.5

The Pick: Navy +1.5 – this will be interesting, I think the Midshipmen get this done at home by playing just enough keep away from the ECU offense

Mississippi State at Alabama              -29

The Pick: Mississippi State +29 – common sense says State will not be able to find an offence v the Tide D, but will Alabama have a letdown after the big win last week…the win is not an issue, but the cover to me is shaky

North Carolina State at Syracuse          5

The Pick: North Carolina State -5 – State should get this done, even if Dungey can go he won’t be 100%, and the Orange don’t have much offence without him

Miami(OH) at Buffalo                         10.5

The Pick: Buffalo +10.5 – I don’t like the cover on the road, but Redhawks playing more than well enough right now to get this done and get bowl eligible

Rice at Charlotte                                 -10.5

The Pick: Charlotte -10.5 – 49ers get this done at home as Rice too beat up and disspirited to care at this point

Miami(Fl) at Virginia                           10

The Pick: Miami(Fl) -10 – Canes should get this done as Cavs continue to rebuild

Louisiana Monroe at Georgia State      -12

The Pick: Georgia State -12 – this will be all kinds of ugly, but State gets it done at home with defence

New Mexico State at Arkansas State   -19.5

The Pick: Arkansas State -19.5 – pick a number time for the hot Wolves v a poor NMS D that is rested, but hasn’t had any answers all year

Wyoming at UNLV                             7.5

The Pick: Wyoming -7.5 – Cowboys should get this done by controlling the line of scrimmage, UNLV is stuck in good but not great mode

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State           -12.5

The Pick: Texas Tech  +12.5 – don’t think the cover is there, but Tech’s lack of D means OSU gets the win in its home finale

Army at Notre Dame                            -13.5

The Pick: Notre Dame +13.5 – Irish should roll past the Cadets at home

Vanderbilt at Missouri                             -3.5

The Pick: Vanderbilt +3.5 – Vandy should get this done with the ground game v a hapless Missouri D

Texas San-Antonio at Louisiana Tech    -22.5

The Pick: Texas San-Antonio +22.5 – Tech gets the win, but UTSA pulls off the back door cover late

North Texas at Western Kentucky    -28.5

The Pick: North Texas +28.5 – North Texas will do enough to avoid being routed but WKU should still get an easy win

Southern Mississippi at Old Dominion      -2

The Pick: Old Dominion -2 – SMU can’t stop turning the ball over, and ODU will take full advantage and get another win at home

Pittsburgh at Clemson                               -20.5

The Pick: Clemson -20.5 – Pitt will put up a bit of a fight, but no reason to think Clemson won’t roll on, barring a total meltdown

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech                  -14

The Pick: Georgia Tech +14 – the cover isn’t there, but Virginia should squeak this one out at home, 3rd down play will be the difference

Appalachian State at Troy                           pk

The Pick: Troy PK – the winner may well be SB champion, Troy wins a squeaker at home as the D gets just enough stops

Illinois at Wisconsin                                  -26.5

The Pick: Illinois +26.5 – Whisky might just miss the cover because they are running the ball, but the win should not be in doubt

Tulane at Houston                                   -23.5

The Pick: Tulane +23.5 – the cover isn’t there as both teams will be running, but Houston should get the win at home

Stanford at Oregon                                       3

The Pick: Stanford -3 – Cards should get this done, the Ducks will put up some passing numbers but it will not be enough to overcome their own medicore to poor defence

Idaho at Texas State                                     7.5

The Pick: Idaho -7.5 – Idaho becomes bowl eligible with the road win over D-less Texas State who don’t have the offence to keep up with the Vandals

UTEP at Florida Atlantic                               -3

The Pick: Florida Atlantic -3 – FAU makes it 2 in a row with the home win over a UTEP team that can’t stop screwing up

Middle Tennessee at Marshall                        9.5

The Pick: Middle Tennessee -9.5 – MTU bounces back with an easy win over a free falling Marshall program

Wake Forest at Louisville                                -35

The Pick: Wake Forest +35 – forget the cover as this is a bad matchup to get a blowout, but Louisville should still win comfortably

Boise State at Hawaii                                        17.5

The Pick: Hawaii +17.5 – I don’t trust Boise to cover this on the Island, but they should get the win as the Hawaii run D has vanished

South Florida at     Memphis                                  3

The Pick: South Florida -3 – Bulls get this done as Memphis can’t keep up in a shootout

Minnesota at Nebraska                                  -7

The Pick: Minnesota +7 – Huskers will not bounce back from last week’s beating and will drop a close one at home

USC at Washington                                          -8.5

The Pick: Washington -8.5 – Huskies should roll on as the USC D won’t have any answers

Michigan at  Iowa                                           21.5

The Pick: Iowa +21.5 – don’t think the cover is there on the road in a run fest kind of game, but Michigan should get the win comfortably

Oregon State at UCLA                                            -12

The Pick: Oregon State +12 – both teams are lousy, so I can’t see the cover here, but Bruins should squeak out a close one at home

Colorado at Arizona                                          15.5

The Pick: Colorado -15.5 – Buffs should roll past beat up and disspirited Wildcat team

New Mexico at Utah State                                   -2.5

The Pick: New Mexico +2.5 – Lobos should run past a State team that can’t stop the run

Colorado State at Air Force                                   -5.5

The Pick: Colorado State +5.5 – State steals this one with a balanced attack that the Falcon D won’t be able to handle

San Diego State at Nevada                                   23.5

The Pick: Nevada +23.5 – SDSU should roll on, but Nevada has just enough offence to avoid being blown out

California at Washington State                            -14.5

The Pick: California +14.5 – this will be a lot of fun, State plays just enough defence to get the win at home

Last Week: 30-28-1
Season: 260-254-16 and down 17.5 units

Enjoy the games everybody!

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About Ian C Gower

I am 45 years old an a resident of Guelph, Ontario Canada. I am a certified sports junkie but i am liable to comment on anything at any time.
This entry was posted in NCAA Football 2016-17 and tagged , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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