Texas A&M at Alabama -27
The Pick: Texas A&M +27
I think A&M will put up enough of a fight at home to beat this number, but only barely, they won’t really threaten the tide.
Tulane at Ohio State -35.5
The Pick: Ohio State -35.5
The Green Wave hits the surf wall v the OSU juggernaut.
Arkansas at Auburn -29.5
The Pick: Auburn -29.5
There is a non-zero chance that Auburn gets too bored to cover this, but the passing game should be able to do what it wants v a poor Hog secondary, and the Hogs don’t have the offence to compensate.
Nebraska at Michigan -18.5
The Pick: Michigan -18.5
Michigan should be able to stuff an unbalanced Husker offence with a banged up QB.
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State -13
The Pick: Texas Tech +13
Last possession likely wins here, State wins the shootout at home.
Michigan State at Indiana 4.5
The Pick: Michigan State -4.5
Sparty likely will look better than it actually is here, If Indy can play ball control they is a chance to steal this, but I don’t think it happens.
Arizona at Oregon State 6.5
The Pick: Oregon State +6.5
I can’t trust Arizonaès offence until they show me they can do it against a real team.
Buffalo at Rutgers 6
The Pick: Buffalo -6
You want to think that Rutgers will rise up and defend the honour of its conference, butI can’t trust them until they show me they can stop shooting theselves in the foot with turnovers. Buffalo is legit at the skill positions.
Florida at Tennessee 4.5
The Pick: Florida -4.5
The Vols may be able to grind this out and possibly beat the spread, but I just don’t think they are ready to pull the upset yet, the talent gap is too great still.
Minnesota at Maryland -3
The Pick: Maryland -3
I am not a huge fan of the Terps, but Minny is too beat up to take advantage on the road.
Kansas at Baylor -7.5
The Pick: Kansas +7.5
Forget about the scores the last 2 weeks, Baylor is the better team at the skill postions and should win this, the Jayhawks rate of getting turnovers is likely unsustainable, HOWEVER, Baylor can’t stop screwing up so there is a real chance that Kanas’ run goes for another week.
Akron at Iowa State -18.5
The Pick: Akron +18.5
State should be able to run over the Zips, but Akron has been able to stay in games so far and I donèt think that changes here, they will continue to make too many mistakes to threaten to steal this one.
Georgia at Missouri 14.5
The Pick: Georgia -14.5
Tigers have a legit offence, but the D won’t have any answers for the Dawgs attack.
Notre Dame at Wake Forest 7.5
The Pick: Notre Dame -7.5
Another week, another ugly win for ND, as turnovers and a lack of run D once again doom Wake.
Nevada at Toledo -10
The Pick: Toledo -10
This will be a shootout so the cover is questionable, but Toledo should get the W at home.
Ohio at Cincinnati -8
The Pick: Cincinnati -8
Ohio’s D won’t get healthy v an under the radar very good Cincy team.
Navy at SMU 7
The Pick: Navy -7
Navy’s option attack/ball control game works v the ultra fast but not terribly effective SMU offence.
Boston College at Purdue 6.5
The Pick: Purdue +6.5
BC should be able to control things with the ground game here, just don’t have the confidence that they will do so. This could go either way.
Kent State at Mississippi -28
The Pick: Kent State +28
The Golden Flash have enough offence to be annoying, the Rebels don’t have the pass rush to take advantage of a shaky State OL, but no way can State keep up with the barrage of offence the Rebels will put up here.
Pittsburgh at North Carolina 4
The Pick: North Carolina +4
This will be UGLY…neither team is playing well, UNC has had a week of to rest and I think that will matter as the grind it out at home, but this is only for the diehards.
Louisville at Virginia -4.5
The Pick: Virginia -4.5
Louisville hasnèt figured out the offence yet, while the Cavs have been solid but hardly dominant. At home it will be enough to get this done.
Western Michigan at Georgia State 7.5
The Pick: Western Michigan -7.5
WMU’s offence will work since this isn’t Michigan’s D, and State won’t be able to keep up.
Miami(OH) at Bowling Green 5
The Pick: Miami(OH) -5
It won’t be pretty, but the Redhawks should get this done v the hapless BG defence.
Western Kentucky at Ball State -3
The Pick: Ball State -3
The Cardinals have at least shown a pulse, while WKU has stalled coming out of the gate. They should do better today. But I have to stay away until they show me they can win.
Clemson at Georgia Tech 17
The Pick: Clemson -17
The Pick: Tech’s option has been good, but not good enough to overcome a poor defence, and v this defence it wonèt be this week either.
Virginia Tech at Old Dominion 28
The Pick: Virginia Tech -28
The Pick: Tech should be able to do whatever it wants against a Monarch team that has been unexpectedly awful.
Kansas State at West Virginia -16
The Pick: Kansas State +16
State’s usual ball control game hasn’t worked well enough yet for me to think they can steal this, but the secondary is good enough they won’t get embarrassed.
Florida International at Miami(FL) -26.5
The Pick: Miami(FL) -26.5
Forget the gaudy numbers, FIU have been bum slayers so far and are about to get stuffed by the Miami D. The only question is can the ‘Canes create enough offence to cover this.
Charlotte at UMass -9
The Pick: Charlotte +9
Charlotte has a littte defence, Umass does not, however I think they find enough offence to barely defend home turf.
Northern Illinois at Florida State -10
The Pick: Northern Illinois +10
The Ugly Duckling Bowl will likely go to the Seminoles, but be shocked if they cover this.
UConn at Syracuse -27.5
The Pick: Syracuse -27.5
Unless the Orange get caught looking ahead, this should be a breeze for them.
South Carolina at Vanderbilt 2
The Pick: South Carolina -2
SC is better than it looked v Georgia and should get this done, but Vandy is good enough v a shaky SC secondary to hang around longer than SC would like.
TCU at Texas 3
The Pick: TCU -3
This will be very close, but TCU should be able to get this done through the air v a weak Longhorn secondary.
North Texas at Liberty 13.5
The Pick: North Texas -13.5
NT has been on fire thus far, Liberty is about to find themselves in the middle of ANOTHER hurricane.
Army at Oklahoma -31.5
The Pick: Army +31.5
Forget the cover v the option attack that will control the time of possession, but Army wonèt have the answers on D for the Sooner attack.
Louisiana Tech at LSU -20
The Pick: Louisiana Tech +20
No, LSU won’t srew this up barring a major brain fart, but I just don’t trust the offence to cover this big a number v a decent secondary.
Mississippi State at Kentucky 10
The Pick: Mississippi State -10
The Pick: Kentucky’s progress is real, but they haven’t shown enough of a passing game to make me think they can hang with the Bulldogs for the whole game.
Rice at Southern Mississippi -14.5
The Pick: Southern Mississippi -14.5
SM gets this done at home, the Rice gound attack wonèt be able to keep up here.
Texas State at UT-San Antonio -7.5
The Pick: UT-San Antonio +7.5
UTSA should get untracked here, the D should be able to stuff State.
UNLV at Arkansas State -7.5
The Pick: Arkansas State -7.5
State should get this done at ome it what maybe a shootout, but it isn’t a gimmie.
Coastal Carolina at Lousiana-Lafayette -4
The Pick: Louisiana-Lafayette -4
CC can run it well but canèt throw it, the Cajuns can run it a bit but not as well however they can throw it some and that will be the difference at home.
Troy at Lousiana-Monroe 6.5
The Pick: Troy -6.5
The ULM D can’t stop the pass, that is a problem against Troy, a decent run game wonèt be enough to compensate.
NC State at Marshall 6
The Pick: NC State -6
This is hard to read because neither team has beaten a team that can actually play. I have more faith in Stateès talent level than Marshall’s at this point.
New Mexico State at UTEP 3
The Pick: New Mexico State -3
NMS has been bad, UTEP has been worse thus far, NMS should find some sort of offence v this poor D, but your guess is a as good as mine.
Stanford at Oregon 2
The Pick: Stanford -2
Stanford is good but not great right now, not sure about Oregon as they haven’t beaten a good team yet, so I will wait and make the Ducks show me they are legit.
East Carolina at South Florida -22
The Pick: East Carolina +22
USF has been solid and should get the W, but the offensive explosion 2 weeks ago by ECU leaves me too nervous to trust USF with the cover.
South Alabama at Memphis -28.5
The Pick: South Alabama +28.5
SA can throw it some so I don’t like Memphis covering this, but SA can’t do anything else well enough to really threaten the Tigers.
Wisconsin at Iowa 3.5
The Pick: Wisconsin -3.5
How will the Huskers react to getting smacked in the mouth by BYU? The answer will tell you who wins here, Iowa is legit enough to pull the upset at home, but logic says the Huskers come out with an attitude and get this done.
Air Force at Utah State -10.5
The Pick: Air Force +10.5
The option attack keeps the Falcons from getting embarrassed, but State has too much offence for the Midshipmen to deal with.
Arizona State at Washington -17.5
The Pick: Arizona State +17.5
There is a real chance that ASU steals this, but I think the Huskies grind it out at home, forget about the cover though.
Eastern Michigan at San Diego State -10.5
The Pick: San Diego State -10.5
EMU is legit, but stealing this on the road is too much to ask They haven’t dealt well with good running teams, and SDSU is just that.
Last Night: 2-1
Season: 79-58-1 and up 10.7 units
Enjoy the games everybody!